Blockworks Advisory illustrative proof of concept for the Curve Risk Assessment and Market Monitoring proposal. Figures and tiers support review discussion.

Scope 2 · LlamaLend

Market risk monitor

LlamaLend markets by utilization, withdrawal headroom, and soft liquidation inventory. Posture labels summarise where each market sits relative to monitoring thresholds. Each market gets L1 to L6 dimension scores and an overall posture (In range / Review / Elevated / Priority). Labels come from simple monitoring thresholds for review triage. Headroom is percentage points to the monitoring stress boundary. Full rules are on the Methodology page.

Updated Sep 25, 2026, 2:41 PM

Outside in range

3

1 on review · 23 markets listed

Supply weighted util

74.7%

Cross section mean 71.9% · σ 17.8 pp

Available liquidity

$22.9m

$67.6m borrowed of $90.5m

LLAMMA soft liq inventory

$82.5m

0.1% of borrows already converted in LLAMMA · 1 elevated

Thin free liquidity

3

Markets ≥$50k with <5% available to borrow

At / above kink

3

Rate acceleration / efficient band zone

Markets ≥ min size

23

Supply ≥ $50k

Cross sectional risk analytics

Universe concentration and binding drivers

Where supplied liquidity sits by collateral and posture, and which L1 to L6 scores are weakest on the largest markets. Scores are monitoring health (higher is better).

Util mean

71.9%

n=23 markets

Util std

17.8 pp

Dispersion of util across markets

Soft liq mean

13.4%

n=23 with LLAMMA

Soft liq std

34.3 pp

Dispersion of converted share

Exposure by collateral

Total supplied USD per collateral asset. Bar color shows the worst posture among markets using that collateral.

Share of LlamaLend supply by posture tier

Percent of total listed LlamaLend supplied liquidity in each posture band. Shares are easier to compare than dollar amounts when most supply sits In range.

4 markets outside In range. Total supplied is $90.5m.

Priority

0.0%

$0 · 0 markets

Elevated

0.6%

$509k · 3 markets

Review

0.1%

$72k · 1 market

In range

99.4%

$89.9m · 19 markets

In rangeReviewElevatedPriority

Dimension score heatmap (top markets by size)

L1 to L6 health scores run from 0 to 100, with higher scores meaning healthier markets. Lower scores highlight weaker dimensions on large exposures.

MarketL1L2L3L4L5L6
sreUSD / crvUSD

$34.0m · In range

90
80
—
—
85
90
sfrxUSD / crvUSD

$15.8m · In range

90
80
95
65
85
90
sDOLA / crvUSD

$11.1m · In range

90
80
95
65
85
90
sUSDe / crvUSD

$8.2m · In range

90
80
95
95
85
90
sfrxUSD / crvUSD

$6.9m · In range

90
80
95
80
85
90
syrupUSDC / crvUSD

$4.1m · In range

90
80
95
65
85
90
wstETH / crvUSD

$3.9m · In range

90
80
95
95
90
90
WBTC / crvUSD

$3.3m · In range

90
80
95
95
90
90
WETH / crvUSD

$1.3m · In range

90
80
95
95
90
90
svZCHF / crvUSD

$379k · In range

90
80
60
25
85
90
fxSAVE / crvUSD

$373k · Elevated

25
80
95
65
40
90
CRV / crvUSD

$263k · In range

90
80
80
95
90
90

L3 to L6 need live enrichment feeds. L6 is shared chain gas (identical across markets on the same chain). Partial scores show when only a subset of feeds resolves.

Distribution summary

How key risk metrics spread across the listed universe. The shaded band is the middle 50% of markets. The vertical line is the median.

Utilization

min 30.5%Q1 65.3%med 73.3%Q3 80.9%max 100.0%
n 23

Typical range 65.3% to 80.9% (median 73.3%). Higher utilization means less withdrawal headroom.

L1 utilization score

min 25Q1 90med 90Q3 90max 90
n 23

Typical range 90 to 90 (median 90). Liquidity score from monitoring thresholds (0 to 100, higher is healthier). Shows how tight utilization is relative to those thresholds.

LLAMMA conversion share

min 0.0%Q1 0.0%med 0.0%Q3 0.3%max 100.0%
n 23

Most markets cluster near 0.0%. The upper tail reaches 100.0%. Share of soft liquidation inventory already converted to the borrowed asset. Only markets with active LLAMMA inventory are included.

Withdrawal headroom

min 0.0%Q1 19.2%med 26.7%Q3 34.7%max 69.5%
n 23

Typical range 19.2% to 34.7% (median 26.7%). Available to borrow as a share of total supply. A higher share means more lender exit capacity.

Portfolio tail · single factor portfolio model (ASRF)

Shows a single factor loss rate distribution on outstanding borrows (LGD assumed at 100%). Asset correlation ρ is a collateral return co-movement proxy for the ASRF control, not a fitted default correlation. Prefer hazard PD inputs when a liquidation event model fits. Util→PD is only an interim fallback.

Exposure base is $67.6m borrowed across 23 markets · interim util→PD stress weights (no fitted hazard model yet) · unconditional return ρ is 0.39 · stress return ρ is 0.29 · recommended ASRF ρ is 0.39.

Return co-movement ρ (ASRF input)

Base loss rate (util proxy)

0.78%

$530k on borrowed · LGD at 100%

99% portfolio loss rate

12.20%

ρ 0.45 · 99% loss rate quantile

99% $ loss (LGD at 100%)

$8.2m

+11.41% vs base rate

Central loss mass99% tail regionBase loss rate99% tail threshold

Axis is zoomed to the model loss rate support (here about 0.0% to 17.6%). With small util stress weights the whole distribution can sit well below 30%.

Tail sensitivity across ρ

The lower panel shows how the 99% tail loss rate moves as assumed asset correlation rises.

Average pairwise return ρ is 0.39 unconditional and 0.29 on worst 10% ETH down days. Return co-movement is a proxy for default asset correlation.

Priority review

Review list

Markets on Review, Elevated, or Priority, or with elevated LLAMMA soft liquidation share. Sorted by severity then size.

Ethereum mainnet

Ethereum LlamaLend markets

Markets are sorted by total supplied. Headroom is percentage points to the monitoring stress boundary. L1 is the liquidity and util dimension score.

13 markets

$89.4m

MarketPostureSuppliedAvailableUtilizationHeadroomSoft liq shareL1 scoreBorrow APY
sreUSD / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (sreUSD collateral)

In range$34.0m$10.2m69.9%+28.1 pp0.0%900.79%
sfrxUSD / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (sfrxUSD collateral)

In range$15.8m$2.8m81.9%+16.1 pp0.0%903.89%
sDOLA / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (sDOLA collateral)

In range$11.1m$3.0m73.3%+24.7 pp0.0%903.82%
sUSDe / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (sUSDe collateral)

In range$8.2m$1.7m79.4%+18.6 pp0.0%903.60%
sfrxUSD / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (sfrxUSD collateral)

In range$6.9m$1.4m79.8%+18.2 pp0.0%903.71%
syrupUSDC / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (syrupUSDC collateral)

In range$4.1m$1.3m69.4%+28.6 pp0.0%903.28%
wstETH / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (wstETH collateral)

In range$3.9m$901k76.7%+21.3 pp0.0%902.58%
WBTC / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (WBTC collateral)

In range$3.3m$518k84.1%+13.9 pp0.0%906.25%
WETH / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (WETH collateral)

In range$1.3m$478k63.9%+34.1 pp0.0%901.83%
svZCHF / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (svZCHF collateral)

In range$379k$179k52.8%+45.2 pp0.0%902.71%
fxSAVE / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (fxSAVE collateral)

Elevated$373k$3k99.1%-1.1 pp0.0%2521.86%
WETH / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (WETH collateral)

In range$83k$58k30.5%+67.5 pp0.0%900.74%
UwU / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (UwU collateral)

Elevated$54k$0100.0%-2.0 pp100.0%250.00%

Other chains

Arbitrum, Optimism, Fraxtal, Sonic

LlamaLend deployments outside Ethereum mainnet, sorted by total supplied liquidity.

10 markets

$1.1m

MarketChainPostureSuppliedAvailableUtilizationHeadroomSoft liq shareL1 scoreBorrow APY
CRV / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (CRV collateral)

ArbitrumIn range$263k$133k49.4%+48.6 pp0.0%9018.59%
WETH / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (WETH collateral)

ArbitrumIn range$232k$95k58.9%+39.1 pp0.0%903.95%
wstETH / USDC

Borrow USDC (wstETH collateral)

OptimismIn range$100k$12k87.9%+10.1 pp0.0%906.47%
WBTC / USDC

Borrow USDC (WBTC collateral)

OptimismIn range$90k$21k77.9%+20.1 pp0.0%903.37%
WETH / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (WETH collateral)

ArbitrumIn range$86k$52k39.3%+58.7 pp1.6%903.10%
IBTC / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (IBTC collateral)

ArbitrumElevated$82k$0100.0%-2.0 pp99.8%250.00%
WBTC / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (WBTC collateral)

ArbitrumIn range$79k$23k70.6%+27.4 pp5.8%908.38%
wstETH / WETH

Borrow WETH (wstETH collateral)

OptimismIn range$77k$20k74.3%+13.7 pp0.0%901.77%
ARB / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (ARB collateral)

ArbitrumReview$72k$24k66.7%+31.3 pp99.9%900.00%
sfrxUSD / crvUSD

Borrow crvUSD (sfrxUSD collateral)

FraxtalIn range$57k$18k68.0%+30.0 pp0.7%905.18%